I don’t mean to be harsh and at 1/5 I am far from daft enough to be backing Vautour, but it really did look to me like Ruby really could have helped the horse more than he appeared to do.

Maybe when you are such a good jockey, although not the best in my humble opinion by some way, and you are riding such amazingly talented animals, sometimes a little complacency can creep in even if it’s only on a subconscious level.

At 1/5 on however there must have been a whole lot of people with maybe a little more money than sense thinking they have just invested to make a certain 20% return in less than 10 minutes. But, as we all know there’s no certainties in this game. To hammer home the point though, why would anyone risk £5 to win a £1, or £50 to win £10, or £500 to win £100? And I’m sure there were people who no doubt risked and lost a lot more too.

Ok, enough about Ruby and my sole Strong Bet today didn’t win either. At 10/1, advised at 12’s however he did run a whole lot better than Ruby’s mount (sorry Ruby) and Henri Parry Morgan came in a valiant 2nd only beaten by a superb ride from Richard Johnson aboard the battling Native River who made virtually all.

Henri Parry Morgan was a very good bet for the FACTOR 10 System and while I din’t go each way, and with eight runners maybe with hindsight I should have, I was pleased that this amazingly simple but potent little system performed well yet again.

I am not in the office tomorrow, Grand National Day, so for what it’s worth I am backing Silviniaco Conti who should be around 10-12/1. The horse has the class to win for sure and Noel Fehily is an excellent jockey too, my concern apart from those big fences, being brought down or unseating his jockey through no fault of his own, is the distance.

But, if Silviniaco Conti can get the distance, I feel he can win the race. So that’s my tip and the only one for tomorrow.

Thanks for reading, good luck Silviniaco and Noel!

Neil Davies