Horse Racing Tips and Racing Systems That Work…At least some of the time anyway!

Is a 2/1 or 7/4 Favourite too short?

By on Dec 4, 2015 in Aida Racing |

I marked off two system horses today both qualified for my No.1 system, Aida’s Arrow and one also qualified for my No.2 system FACTOR 10, both horses won and I’ll tell you why I didn’t back either in a moment, but are those prices too short for you?

The first winner was in the 3.10 at Sandown ‘Conas Taoi’ who romped in at 7/4 by 16 lengths. This horse qualified for 5 of the 9 Factors associated with the Aida’s Arrow Racing System. (4, 5 & 6 Factors can all be strong).

The second winner was ‘Air Of York’ in the 5.15 at Wolverhampton and this one romped in over just 7 furlongs to win by 3 1/4 lengths. Not only was this horse a strong Aida’s Arrow Racing System horse qualifying for 5 Factors, but the horse was also a strong qualifier for the FACTOR 10 Racing System (nicknamed the £10k system).

Here’s my reasons for not backing these horses, even if I do feel a little foolish now. Firstly one of the most important considerations in racing has to be Value, by that I mean the price has to be right for the horse and what they have done to date and in the respective race.

In the case of ‘Conas Taoi’ the horse had actually won four of his last five races and there races back had unseated his rider,so it could maybe have been five on the bounce. The horse was going for a hat trick over 3 miles and on forecast Soft going, which the horse was not proven on.

So, in the morning at least, I felt the horse was too short to be taking a chance on. I was, I am sort of pleased to say, wrong and my system once again provided a solid strong bet winner.

For both the Aida’s Arrow Racing System and the FACTOR 10 Racing System ‘Air Of York’ was carrying a 12lbs penalty after winning his previous two races. There was also a potentially strong contender in the second favourite who had also won three of his last five races.

I therefore decided that the price in the morning of 7/4 was just too short to be taking a chance on. Once again however my highly researched and long time proven and tested systems came up with the winner and I missed out.

It’s more than fair to say if you back every 7/4 and 2/1 shot you will almost certainly lose out month in month out, maybe with the odd exception. However, when these Favourites qualify in the way they did for my two top systems, maybe I should be and should have made an exception.

I’d certainly be interested in your own betting philosophy especially where priced is concerned.

If you have any questions about what I do and the Manuals I have produced in the last 10 years please email me, (neil@aidaracing.co.uk) or you can find out a little more by following this link Click Here.

Thanks for reading

Neil Davies – Aida Racing (Always learning)